We cut our EBITDA estimates by 33%/9% for FY26E/FY27E as we fine tune our footfalls assumptions given early monsoon in Western India during peak summer resulted in a 22.4% YoY decline in footfalls to 0.95mn (PLe 1.24mn). IMAGICAA IN reported weak set of results as revenues declined 19.5% YoY to Rs1,481mn with EBITDA margin of 49.0% driven by early monsoon in the western region and postponement of school vacations. Given 1Q is a seasonally strong quarter for water parks, we believe recovery in ensuing quarters will be difficult and thus FY26E might turn-out to be a challenging year for IMAGICAA...
RevPAR increases 19.4% YoY to Rs4,523 in 1QFY26 We cut our EBITDA estimates by ~2% over FY25-FY27E as we fine tune our fee income assumptions amid delays in opening timelines of managed & franchised hotels. LEMONTRE IN's operational performance was marginally better than our estimate with EBITDA margin of 44.5% (PLe 43.2%) led by 19.4% growth in RevPAR to Rs4,523 and 6.3% YoY fall in power & fuel cost amid investments...
product basket (SKU count is up by ~300 in last 1 year), and strengthening distribution network (retail touch points are up by ~20K in last 1 year) we expect sales/PAT CAGR of 24% over FY25-FY27E. We broadly maintain our...
headwinds from demand normalization and pricing pressure. We revise our FY26/FY27 estimates by -3.9%/-1.2% factoring in the slower execution pace in the LV and Digital segments, which is impacting on the overall margin profile. We maintain Accumulate' rating with a TP of Rs3,431 (Rs3,233 earlier), valuing the stock at a PE of 53x Mar'27E (53x Sep-26E earlier). The stock is currently trading at a PE of 60.8x/51.8x on SY25/26E. Despite short term cautious stance on private/ industrial capex, we believe SIEM to sustain long-term growth given 1) continued traction in public capex in...
soon, to be completed in 18 months post inception Fine Organic (FINEORG IN) reported consolidated revenue of Rs5.88bn, up 7% YoY but down 3% QoQ. Export markets witnessed healthy demand growth during the quarter, while domestic demand remained stable. Raw material and freight prices also remained steady. All manufacturing facilities operated at full capacity, except for the Patalganga (food-grade) plant, which is expected to be fully utilized by the end of FY26. In Q4FY25, FINEORG incorporated a...
segment (realization/volume was lower by 9%/5% respectively). We expect revenue/EBITDA CAGR of 7%/8% over FY25-FY27E given rising competition in domestic stationary business and gradual migration of students from state...
We downward revise our FY26/FY27E earnings estimate by 18.5%/6.2% factoring in correction in aggregate volume in UCP while margins are expected to be at 5% due to promotional offers aimed at liquidating inventory, high fixed costs from low plant utilization, and increases in cost due to BEE norms. Anticipating strong demand, Voltas's trade partners had built up inventory; however, softer secondary sales led to slower off-take and elevated stock levels, prompting the company to temporarily scale back production. UCP EBIT margins contracted due to focus on driving volumes through aggressive pricing...
We revise our FY26/27E EPS estimates by -16.3%/-5.4% accounting for continued weakness in Abrasives on account of Chinese dumping and nearterm headwinds in Rhodius. Carborundum Universal (CU) reported a modest 1.9% YoY increase in consolidated sales, while EBITDA margin contracted by 622 bps YoY to 9.9%, weighed down by weaker subsidiary profitability. In the...
National Aluminum (NACL) reported weak operating performance in Q1FY26 on low pricing and higher other expenses. Alumina/metal volumes grew 3x/6% YoY to 304kt/113kt on weak base. Average Q1 alumina NSR declined 37% QoQ to USD 419/t, while that for metal declined 6% YoY to USD 2,791/t. RM costs increased led by an inch up in caustic soda prices, while other expenses were elevated on account of RPO obligation compliance costs and higher repairs/ coal transportation costs, leading to below estimate EBITDA delivery. Mgmt. reiterated FY26 alumina sales guidance at ~1.28mt, supported by higher...
expected at 12-14%/8-10%/15%/low single digits. We believe Plywood will continue to see healthy volume growth and better realizations as the company took a price hike of 2% in Q1FY26. Also the company highlighted during the call that Jul'25 saw the highest volume growth in its history, and improvement in Laminate and MDF segments. We expect overall revenue/EBITDA/PAT CAGR of 13.2%/26.1%/47.8% with Plywood/Laminate/MDF/Particleboard volume CAGR of 11.1%/14.0%/19.0%/15.6% over FY25-27E. We maintain our rating of...
